Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.166398 0.186674 0.207817 0.231456 0.257094 0.284007 0.314337
2025-01-26 0.139546 0.167132 0.197287 0.232517 0.272357 0.315827 0.366651
2025-02-02 0.123160 0.156044 0.193458 0.238784 0.291798 0.351434 0.423166
2025-02-09 0.107387 0.143431 0.185989 0.239267 0.303473 0.377642 0.469049
2025-02-16 0.096541 0.135272 0.182545 0.243460 0.318786 0.407786 0.519723
2025-02-23 0.089059 0.130330 0.182225 0.250819 0.337559 0.442040 0.575723
2025-03-02 0.078836 0.120724 0.175041 0.248713 0.343983 0.460944 0.613126
2025-03-09 0.071015 0.113500 0.170193 0.248931 0.352833 0.482578 0.653917
2025-03-16 0.063689 0.106214 0.164586 0.247538 0.359137 0.500754 0.690385
2025-03-23 0.059469 0.102939 0.164082 0.252693 0.373866 0.529712 0.740809
2025-03-30 0.054132 0.097496 0.160088 0.252671 0.381422 0.549302 0.779365
2025-04-06 0.049295 0.092355 0.156106 0.252289 0.388221 0.567787 0.816585
2025-04-13 0.044365 0.086765 0.151278 0.250682 0.393565 0.584888 0.853004
2025-04-20 0.040984 0.083359 0.149452 0.253219 0.404620 0.609768 0.900105
2025-04-27 0.039084 0.082244 0.151007 0.260698 0.422764 0.644545 0.960998
2025-05-04 0.035896 0.078605 0.148347 0.261652 0.431461 0.666443 1.004818
2025-05-11 0.033792 0.076675 0.148243 0.266383 0.445638 0.696078 1.059546
2025-05-18 0.032506 0.076106 0.150272 0.274400 0.464747 0.732864 1.124583
2025-05-25 0.029423 0.071873 0.145950 0.272220 0.468562 0.748090 1.160017
2025-06-01 0.027055 0.068767 0.143301 0.272494 0.475934 0.768362 1.202639
2025-06-08 0.024614 0.065259 0.139711 0.271023 0.480499 0.784568 1.239689
2025-06-15 0.023456 0.064254 0.140428 0.276559 0.495856 0.816525 1.299306
2025-06-22 0.021577 0.061533 0.137892 0.276543 0.502526 0.835873 1.341231